The needle bearings are really easy to get to and lube- need a small watercolor brush, or something similar, to get in there with some grease. Could be, but I doubt that's it- still worth a look.
OK, I apologize if this seems too easy and you've already checked, but given the fact that the rear brake assembly is bolted onto the final drive...... have you checked your pads for unusually high wear? At 2,900 they should look new. I have a strong suspicion that you barely have any pads left back there. It could be a sticky caliper.